So I just finished 44th out of 627 for a BS $60 in a 15k GTD. After the smoke cleared (from my ears) I started thinking about all the random suckouts in history. amateurs and pros... I'm not sure if its from exhaustion, tilt, drunk, or whatever. I guess each situation is different, maybe the reads got dirty or the deck ran cold and they thought something along the lines of "I can beat the odds this time." I know I finished when I did because I wasn't willing to gamble, I folded a few AK's all the way down to suited Ax and a few small pairs, not because I didn't think I had the best hand (pre-flop) but because I knew I didn't need to gamble in that spot. If I had, I would have either made the final table or never came close to the money. By the same token, I would raise with air if I knew I could take it down.
I guess for historic purposes in the main event we could go back to 1976, when Doyle Brunson's Ts2s went against Jesse Alto's AsJd on a AJT2T board, for that Doyle had mentioned that Jesse was a steamer, and had recently taken a bad beat. I was thinking of Chris Ferguson's A9 dominated by T.J. Cloutier's AQ, and Dewey Tomko's aces getting cracked by Carlos Mortensen's KQ.
I should have known better. I knew I had him dead to rights, I had AJ in the big blind and I knew he had something decent but not premium. maybe 9T, maybe 89, maybe suited, If I push, He'll probably call just for a chance to take me out. Ok, let's go... AJ vs J8 even better. Or not. I had him out-kicked, but he had me out-chipped, so it didn't matter to him, it ment everything to me. Call me a nit, but don't ever, EVER say I'm lucky.